Evaluation of NIO stock downgraded after the last trading session.StockInvest.us, 1 month ago
The NIO stock price fell by -2.93% on the last day (Tuesday, 31st Oct 2023) from $7.52 to $7.30. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.06% from a day low at $7.18 to a day high of $7.40. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -14.42% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 4 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 29 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $215.13 million.
On Jun 12, 2023, it was reported that UBS gave NIO a "Neutral" grade with a "hold" action.
The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $7.52 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -46.83% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $3.01 and $4.00 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The NIO stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $7.60 and $8.54. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, October 11, 2023, and so far it has fallen -18.62%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.220 between high and low, or 3.06%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.83%.
NIO is oversold on RSI14 (23). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
NIO holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.Check full NIO forecast and analysis here.