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Green day on Thursday for Tesla

StockInvest.us, 1 month ago

Tesla

The Tesla stock price gained 0.40% on the last trading day (Thursday, 4th Aug 2022), rising from $922.19 to $925.90. , and has now gained 8 days in a row. It is not often that stocks manage to gain so many days in a row, and falls for a day or two should be expected. During the day the stock fluctuated 2.82% from a day low at $915.00 to a day high of $940.82. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 13.59% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -3 million shares and in total, 24 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $22.04 billion. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

Citigroup is very positive about TSLA and gave it a "$375.00 - $424.00" rating on Aug 02, 2022. The price target was changed from 375 to 424.Over the last 90 days, this security got 14 buy, 15 sell, and 1 hold ratings.

The stock lies in the upper part of a very wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $956.70 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 9.55% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $760.37 and $1048.06 at the end of this 3-month period.

Tesla

Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The Tesla stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term moving averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $885.76 and $753.35. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, May 24, 2022, and so far it has risen 47.40%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $815.12 and $728.00.There is natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Tesla finds support just below today's level at $815.12. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $728.00 and $711.11.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $25.82 between high and low, or 2.82%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 4.68%.

The Tesla stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.Since the Tesla has been rising for 8 days in a row, the risk over the next couple of days has increased. We don't expect a major reaction as the stock is in very good shape technically, and therefore hold a positive evaluation despite the very short term risk.

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Tesla stock to perform well in the short-term.

Check full Tesla forecast and analysis here.