High volatility in SOXL ETF price on Thursday which ended trading at $35.00

The SOXL ETF price fell by -21.15% on the last day (Thursday, 1st Aug 2024) from $44.39 to $35.00. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 29.92% from a day low at $33.42 to a day high of $43.42. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -32.25% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 64 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 158 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $5.53 billion.

Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 13.89% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $39.86 and $80.74 at the end of this 3-month period.

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The SOXL ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $40.42 and $54.88. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, July 10, 2024, and so far it has fallen -49.02%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the ETF may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

This ETF may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this ETF is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the ETF moved $10.00 between high and low, or 29.92%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 13.74%.

The SOXL ETF holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe SOXL will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.