High volatility in Super Micro Computer stock price on Thursday which ended trading at $59.27

The Super Micro Computer stock price fell by -1.63% on the last day (Thursday, 20th Feb 2025) from $60.25 to $59.27. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 15.05% from a day low at $54.30 to a day high of $62.47. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 88.22% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -147 million shares and in total, 181 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $10.72 billion.

On Feb 18, 2025, it was reported that Wedbush gave SMCI a "Hold" grade with a "hold" action.

The stock lies in the upper part of a very wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $60.32 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 7.43% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $29.76 and $64.80 at the end of this 3-month period.

The Super Micro Computer stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $49.35 and $35.31. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, February 19, 2025, and so far it has fallen -1.63%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $55.87 and $47.91.With no support from accumulated volume below today's level the risk is increased, as a drop below the support at $47.91 may give a huge drop in the stock price.

This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $8.17 between high and low, or 15.05%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 14.45%.

The Super Micro Computer stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stock may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.

Super Micro Computer holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.