High volatility in Super Micro Computer stock price on Tuesday which ended trading at $28.27

The Super Micro Computer stock price gained 31.24% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 19th Nov 2024), rising from $21.54 to $28.27. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 14.76% from a day low at $25.61 to a day high of $29.39. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 2.06% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 72 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 230 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $6.49 billion.

On Nov 06, 2024, it was reported that Needham gave SMCI a "Mixed" grade with a "hold" action.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -38.38% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $10.33 and $26.41 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, November 14, 2024, and so far it has risen 56.97%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Super Micro Computer stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $36.97. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $21.66. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $26.05 and $22.70.There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Super Micro Computer finds support just below today's level at $26.05. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $22.70 and $21.54.

This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $3.78 between high and low, or 14.76%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 12.28%.

Super Micro Computer holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.