Microsoft stock downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Thursday trading session

The Microsoft stock price gained 0.266% on the last trading day (Thursday, 9th Jul 2026), rising from $383.34 to $384.36. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.02% from a day low at $373.35 to a day high of $384.64. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 5.17% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 6 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 30 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $11.67 billion.

On Jul 07, 2026, it was reported that BMO Capital gave MSFT a "Outperform" grade with a "hold" action.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -8.05% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $319.15 and $408.21 at the end of this 3-month period.

There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Microsoft stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $384.44 and $399.82. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, June 25, 2026, and so far it has risen 8.94%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.

Microsoft finds support from accumulated volume at $379.40 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $11.29 between high and low, or 3.02%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.05%.

Microsoft holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.