Microsoft stock downgraded to Strong Sell Candidate

The Microsoft stock price fell by -2.66% on the last day (Tuesday, 25th Jan 2022) from $296.37 to $288.49. During the day the stock fluctuated 3.44% from a day low at $285.17 to a day high of $294.99. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -8.2% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -19 million shares and in total, 66 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $18.97 billion.

On Jan 20, 2022 "Citigroup" gave "$407.00 - $376.00" rating for MSFT. The price target was set to $308.58+1.7%.

The stock lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $284.10 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -7.42% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $263.02 and $300.56 at the end of this 3-month period.

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Microsoft stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term moving averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $299.81 and $322.81. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, November 19, 2021, and so far it has fallen -15.92%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $9.82 between high and low, or 3.44%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 4.23%.

Microsoft is oversold on RSI14 (17). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.

Microsoft holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.