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NIO stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Tuesday trading session.

StockInvest.us, 2 months ago


The NIO stock price gained 3.84% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 5th Jul 2022), rising from $21.36 to $22.18. During the day the stock fluctuated 9.09% from a day low at $20.35 to a day high of $22.20. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days, but is still up by 6.79% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 5 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 51 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.12 billion.

HSBC is very positive about NIO and gave it a "$26.00 - $28.00" rating on Jun 30, 2022. The price target was changed from 26 to 28.Over the last 90 days, this security got 2 buy, 4 sell, and 0 hold ratings.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 16.82% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $17.31 and $28.54 at the end of this 3-month period.


The NIO stock holds a sell signal from the short-term moving average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term moving average at approximately $22.36. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $18.85. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, June 24, 2022, and so far it has fallen -7.89%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $20.11 and $19.18.There is natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, NIO finds support just below today's level at $20.11. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $19.18 and $18.66.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $1.85 between high and low, or 9.09%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 7.02%.

NIO holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Check full NIO forecast and analysis here.