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NIO stock upgraded to Sell Candidate.

StockInvest.us, 1 month ago


The NIO stock price fell by -3.64% on the last day (Thursday, 28th Mar 2024) from $4.67 to $4.50. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.58% from a day low at $4.48 to a day high of $4.73. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -19.35% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -30 million shares and in total, 55 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $246.18 million.

On Mar 11, 2024, it was reported that Morgan Stanley gave NIO a "Overweight" grade with a "hold" action.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -31.78% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $2.58 and $3.87 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.


There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The NIO stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $4.84 and $5.58. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, March 12, 2024, and so far it has fallen -27.30%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.250 between high and low, or 5.58%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.48%.

NIO is oversold on RSI14 (19). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.

NIO holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Sell to a Sell candidate.

Check full NIO forecast and analysis here.