NVIDIA stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate

The NVIDIA stock price gained 4.76% on the last trading day (Thursday, 17th Jun 2021), rising from $712.41 to $746.29. , and has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the day the stock fluctuated 6.08% from a day low at $710.25 to a day high of $753.40. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 9.94% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 12 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 20 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $14.90 billion.

Jefferies Financial Group is very positive about NVDA and gave it a "Buy" rating on June 17, 2021. The price target was changed from $740.00 to $854.00.Over the last 30 days, this security got 15 buy, 0 sell, and 2 hold ratings.

The stock lies in the upper part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $763.64 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 28.46% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $784.96 and $980.97 at the end of this 3-month period.

The NVIDIA stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term moving averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $713.62 and $630.46. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, May 13, 2021, and so far it has risen 36.53%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 months Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $627.18 and $608.36.There is natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, NVIDIA finds support just below today's level at $627.18. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $608.36 and $599.67.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $43.15 between high and low, or 6.08%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 2.96%.

The NVIDIA stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.

NVIDIA holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.