NVIDIA stock downgraded to Hold/AccumulateStockInvest.us, 1 month ago
The NVIDIA stock price fell by -2.03% on the last day (Friday, 2nd Dec 2022) from $172.17 to $168.68. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.96% from a day low at $164.45 to a day high of $169.33. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 8.38% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -8 million shares and in total, 31 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $5.30 billion.
Needham is very positive about NVDA and gave it a "$155.00 - $200.00" rating on Nov 17, 2022. The price target was changed from 155 to 200.Over the last 90 days, this security got 7 buy, 10 sell, and 1 hold ratings.
The stock lies in the upper part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $172.76 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 26.59% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $167.31 and $218.69 at the end of this 3-month period.
The NVIDIA stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term moving averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $164.14 and $144.64. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, December 01, 2022, and so far it has fallen -2.03%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $132.61 and $131.76.There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, NVIDIA finds support just below today's level at $132.61. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $131.76 and $131.31.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $4.88 between high and low, or 2.96%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.02%.
NVIDIA holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.Check full NVIDIA forecast and analysis here.