QQQ ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate

The QQQ ETF price fell by -3.04% on the last day (Tuesday, 3rd Sep 2024) from $476.27 to $461.81. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 3.02% from a day low at $459.41 to a day high of $473.30. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -4.04% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 11 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 44 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $20.25 billion.

The ETF lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled.Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -2.49% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $420.37 and $482.88 at the end of this 3-month period.

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The QQQ ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $473.17 and $467.05. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, August 21, 2024, and so far it has fallen -4.29%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

QQQ finds support from accumulated volume at $448.75 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $13.89 between high and low, or 3.02%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.89%.

QQQ holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.