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QQQ ETF downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Thursday trading session
(Updated on Jul 02, 2026)
The QQQ ETF price decreased by -1.73% on the most recent trading day (Thursday, 2nd Jul 2026), dropping from $725.17 to $712.60. Throughout the last trading session, the ETF experienced a fluctuation of 3.29%, with a daily low of $707.56 and a daily high of $730.82. The price has declined in 6 out of the last 10 days, resulting in a total decrease of -1.37% for this timeframe. Volume increased on the last day by 11 million shares, albeit amidst falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, and the associated risk may slightly elevate over the next few days. In total, 50 million shares exchanged hands for approximately $35.50 billion.
The ETF lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $710.18 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 18.59% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $842.17 and $935.30 at the end of this 3-month period.
QQQ Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The QQQ ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $718.82 and $722.42. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 02, 2026, and so far it has fallen -4.50%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for QQQ ETF
QQQ finds support from accumulated volume at $707.83 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $23.26 (3.29%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 2.15%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (QQQ) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect Invesco QQQ Trust to open at $716.99, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $704.34 and $720.86, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$16.52 (+/-2.35%) up or down from last closing price. If Invesco QQQ Trust takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.35% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $713.65 (0.15%) than the support at $707.83 (0.67%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Invesco QQQ Trust ETF A Buy?
The QQQ ETF holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe QQQ will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-4.573
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 6, 2026 - $716.99 ( 0.617%).
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QQQ Performance
Trading levels for QQQ
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 740.25 | 3.88% |
| R2 | 731.37 | 2.63% |
| R1 | 725.88 | 1.86% |
| Price | 712.60 | |
| S1 | 708.11 | -0.630% |
| S2 | 702.62 | -1.40% |
| S3 | 693.73 | -2.65% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 717.12 | 0.634% |
| R2 | 716.38 | 0.530% |
| R1 | 713.65 | 0.147% |
| Price | 712.60 | |
| S1 | 707.83 | -0.669% |
| S2 | 705.06 | -1.06% |
| S3 | 693.69 | -2.65% |
QQQ Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dec 21, 2026 | Dec 21, 2026 | Dec 28, 2026 | $0.794 | 0.127% |
| 2 | Jun 22, 2026 | Jun 22, 2026 | Jul 10, 2026 | $0.81 | 0.110% |
| 3 | Mar 23, 2026 | Mar 23, 2026 | Mar 27, 2026 | $0.733 | 0.125% |
| 4 | Dec 22, 2025 | Dec 22, 2025 | Dec 31, 2025 | $0.794 | 0.128% |
| 5 | Sep 22, 2025 | Sep 22, 2025 | Oct 31, 2025 | $0.694 | 0.115% |
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