The QQQ ETF price gained 1.27% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 13th Dec 2023), rising from $398.67 to $403.74. It has now gained 5 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.38% from a day low at $398.84 to a day high of $404.36. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.57% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 15 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 53 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $21.45 billion.
The ETF lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled.Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 9.84% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $398.84 and $455.17 at the end of this 3-month period.
The QQQ ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $393.27 and $378.77. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, October 26, 2023, and so far it has risen 17.48%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
On the downside, the ETF finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $364.70 and $359.97.There is a natural risk involved when a ETF is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the ETF then may fall to the next support level. In this case, QQQ finds support just below today's level at $364.70. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $359.97 and $343.66.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $5.52 between high and low, or 1.38%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.15%.
QQQ holds several positive signals and is within a weak rising trend. As the old saying says, "Let the trend be your friend.'". We therefore consider it to be a good choice at these current levels and we are expecting further gains during the next 3 months.We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Strong Buy candidate.
Check full QQQ forecast and analysis here.
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