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Red day on Friday for Tesla

StockInvest.us, 2 months ago


The Tesla stock price fell by -0.598% on the last day (Friday, 15th Sep 2023) from $276.04 to $274.39. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.93% from a day low at $271.03 to a day high of $278.97. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 6.32% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 25 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 132 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $36.33 billion.

On Sep 12, 2023, it was reported that Morgan Stanley gave TSLA a "Cautious" grade with a "initialise" action.

The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $278.88 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -7.11% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $194.10 and $259.06 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.


The Tesla stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $266.11 and $249.25. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, September 14, 2023, and so far it has fallen -0.598%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $259.46 and $256.60.There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Tesla finds support just below today's level at $259.46. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $256.60 and $241.05.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $7.94 between high and low, or 2.93%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.54%.

Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term.

Check full Tesla forecast and analysis here.