Red day on Monday for Super Micro Computer
StockInvest.us, 4 weeks ago
The Super Micro Computer stock price fell by -0.86% on the last day (Monday, 14th Oct 2024) from $47.80 to $47.39. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.50% from a day low at $46.44 to a day high of $49.46. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 13.81% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 8 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 43 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.04 billion.
On Oct 02, 2024, it was reported that Barclays gave SMCI a "Equal-Weight" grade with a "hold" action.
The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $50.82 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -43.39% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $12.92 and $28.77 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
The Super Micro Computer stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $46.18 and $44.55. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, September 06, 2024, and so far it has risen 22.63%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $44.88 and $44.35.There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Super Micro Computer finds support just below today's level at $44.88. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $44.35 and $40.24.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $3.02 between high and low, or 6.50%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 7.94%.
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term.
Check full Super Micro Computer forecast and analysis here.