Red day on Tuesday for Microsoft stock after losing 1.15%

The Microsoft stock price fell by -1.15% on the last day (Tuesday, 12th Apr 2022) from $285.26 to $281.98. and has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the day the stock fluctuated 3.65% from a day low at $280.49 to a day high of $290.74. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -10.6% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -2 million shares and in total, 28 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $7.80 billion.

Tigress Financial is very positive about MSFT and gave it a "$366.00 - $411.00" rating on Feb 04, 2022. The price target was set to 305.94+1.56.

The stock is at the lower part of a wide and horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $274.62 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected.Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Microsoft stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $272.04 and $311.96 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Microsoft stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term moving averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $298.71 and $296.39. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, March 29, 2022, and so far it has fallen -10.60%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Microsoft finds support from accumulated volume at $280.27 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $10.25 between high and low, or 3.65%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 2.78%.

Microsoft holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.