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The QQQ ETF price fell by -0.328% on the last day (Tuesday, 17th Oct 2023) from $369.41 to $368.20. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.72% from a day low at $363.66 to a day high of $369.92. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.74% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 7 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 49 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $18.03 billion.
The ETF lies the upper part of a falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $370.74 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift.Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -4.05% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $334.01 and $355.72 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
The QQQ ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $368.46. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $367.46. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, October 11, 2023, and so far it has fallen -0.81%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.
QQQ finds support from accumulated volume at $364.70 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $6.26 between high and low, or 1.72%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.48%.
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the ETF being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for ETF to perform well in the short-term.
Check full QQQ forecast and analysis here.