Red day on Tuesday for XLE

StockInvest.us, 2 weeks ago

StockInvest.us

The XLE ETF price fell by -1.00% on the last day (Tuesday, 28th Jan 2025) from $90.40 to $89.50. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.13% from a day low at $89.06 to a day high of $90.95. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.95% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -2 million shares and in total, 14 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.21 billion.

The ETF lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled.Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -4.46% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $77.93 and $89.99 at the end of this 3-month period.

XLE

The XLE ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $91.80. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $88.67. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, January 17, 2025, and so far it has fallen -4.74%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

XLE finds support from accumulated volume at $88.04 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.90 between high and low, or 2.13%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.70%.

XLE holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Check full XLE forecast and analysis here.