SPDR S&P 500 ETF upgraded to Sell Candidate.StockInvest.us, 3 months ago
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF price gained 2.52% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 21st Jun 2022), rising from $365.86 to $375.07. During the day the ETF fluctuated 1.27% from a day low at $371.81 to a day high of $376.53. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -8.92% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -34 million shares and in total, 77 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $28.96 billion. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled.Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -16.30% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $305.16 and $338.41 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term moving average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term moving average at $399.24. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $375.06. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, June 17, 2022, and so far it has risen 2.52%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely.
SPDR S&P 500 finds support from accumulated volume at $375.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $4.71 between high and low, or 1.27%. For the last week, the ETF has had a daily average volatility of 2.06%.
SPDR S&P 500 holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Strong Sell to a Sell candidate.Check full SPY forecast and analysis here.