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SPY ETF price down 0.173% on Monday

StockInvest.us, 1 month ago


The SPY ETF price fell by -0.173% on the last day (Monday, 23rd Oct 2023) from $421.19 to $420.46. It has now fallen 5 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.59% from a day low at $417.80 to a day high of $424.45. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.74% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -27 million shares and in total, 86 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $35.99 billion.

The ETF lies in the middle of a narrow and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled.Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -5.97% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $390.83 and $410.00 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.


Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The SPY ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $428.84 and $434.68. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, October 11, 2023, and so far it has fallen -3.64%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the ETF may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $6.65 between high and low, or 1.59%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.46%.

SPY holds several negative signals and is within a narrow and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.

Check full SPY forecast and analysis here.