SPY ETF price ended on $366.61 on Monday after gaining 2.64%

The SPY ETF price gained 2.64% on the last trading day (Monday, 3rd Oct 2022), rising from $357.18 to $366.61. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.60% from a day low at $359.21 to a day high of $368.55. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -5.65% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -65 million shares and in total, 89 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $32.79 billion. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The ETF lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $356.92 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate.Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -3.70% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $343.72 and $405.64 at the end of this 3-month period.

There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The SPY ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term moving average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term moving average at $395.17. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $364.68. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, September 30, 2022, and so far it has risen 2.64%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely.

SPY finds support from accumulated volume at $363.38 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $9.34 between high and low, or 2.60%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 2.49%.

SPY holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.