Stronger technical forecast for Microsoft stock price after Monday trading.StockInvest.us, 3 months ago
The Microsoft stock price gained 0.11% on the last trading day (Monday, 24th Jan 2022), rising from $296.03 to $296.37. During the day the stock fluctuated 7.63% from a day low at $276.05 to a day high of $297.11. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days, but is still down by -5.63% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 29 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 85 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $25.16 billion.
On Jan 20, 2022 "Citigroup" gave "$407.00 - $376.00" rating for MSFT. The price target was set to $308.58+1.7%.
The stock lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $295.70 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -5.88% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $278.31 and $309.53 at the end of this 3-month period.
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, January 21, 2022, and so far it has risen 0.11%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Microsoft stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term moving averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $302.14 and $323.79. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Microsoft finds support from accumulated volume at $296.03 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $21.06 between high and low, or 7.63%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 4.07%.
Microsoft is oversold on RSI14 (18). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Microsoft holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Sell to a Sell candidate.Check full Microsoft forecast and analysis here.