Super Micro Computer stock upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Buy Candidate after Tuesday trading session.
The Super Micro Computer stock price fell by -0.552% on the last day (Tuesday, 21st May 2024) from $903.94 to $898.95. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 7.07% from a day low at $877.89 to a day high of $939.94. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 9.72% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 564 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 6 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $5.29 billion.
On May 01, 2024, it was reported that Bank of America Securities gave SMCI a "Buy" grade with a "hold" action.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -18.43% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $516.03 and $824.90 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
The Super Micro Computer stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $878.95 and $859.83. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, May 15, 2024, and so far it has fallen -5.61%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Super Micro Computer finds support from accumulated volume at $860.01 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $62.05 between high and low, or 7.07%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 8.32%.
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
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