Super Micro Computer stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Wednesday trading session
StockInvest.us, 2 weeks ago
The Super Micro Computer stock price fell by -1.18% on the last day (Wednesday, 25th Sep 2024) from $463.61 to $458.15. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.10% from a day low at $457.92 to a day high of $476.71. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 2.86% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -397 thousand shares and in total, 5 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.25 billion.
On Sep 23, 2024, it was reported that Loop Capital Markets gave SMCI a "Buy" grade with a "hold" action.
The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $471.01 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -53.03% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $129.97 and $221.22 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, August 16, 2024, and so far it has fallen -27.14%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Super Micro Computer stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $497.43. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $451.20. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Super Micro Computer finds support from accumulated volume at $448.82 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $18.79 between high and low, or 4.10%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.29%.
Super Micro Computer holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Check full Super Micro Computer forecast and analysis here.