Hefei Department Store Group Co., Ltd. Stock Forecast
Hefei Department Store Group Co., Ltd. stock upgraded to Buy Candidate.
(Updated on May 08, 2024)
The Hefei Department Store Group Co., Ltd. stock price fell by -1.04% on the last day (Wednesday, 8th May 2024) from ¥4.79 to ¥4.74. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.91% from a day low at ¥4.70 to a day high of ¥4.79. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.18% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -5 million shares and in total, 12 million shares were bought and sold for approximately ¥54.65 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 3.24% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ¥4.57 and ¥5.13 at the end of this 3-month period.
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000417.SZ Signals & Forecast
The Hefei Department Store Group Co., Ltd. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at ¥4.67 and ¥4.63. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, May 07, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.04%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
A buy signal from a double bottom formation was found on Tuesday, April 16, 2024 with a target of ¥4.53. Despite whether the objective of the signal formation has been reached the stock may continue to perform well.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Hefei Department Store Group Co., Ltd. stock
Hefei Department Store Group Co., Ltd. finds support from accumulated volume at ¥4.66 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved ¥0.0900 between high and low, or 1.91%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.36%.
Our recommended stop-loss: ¥4.54 (-4.32%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (000417.SZ) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 9th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 9th we expect Hefei Department Store Group Co., Ltd. to open at ¥4.74, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ¥4.56 and ¥4.92, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-¥0.177 (+/-3.73%) up or down from last closing price. If Hefei Department Store Group Co., Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.46% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at ¥4.66 (1.69%) than the resistance at ¥4.83 (1.90%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Hefei Department Store Group Co., Ltd. stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Hefei Department Store Group Co., Ltd. stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 1.756 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Hefei Department Store Group Co., Ltd. of Thursday, May 9, 2024
| Fair opening price May 9, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| ¥4.74 ( 0.0703%) | ¥4.74 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 000417.SZ
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 4.83 | 1.97 % | |
| R2 | 4.80 | 1.24 % | ||
| R1 | 4.78 | 0.796 % | ||
| Current price: | 4.74 | |||
| Support | S1 | 4.71 | -0.655 % | |
| S2 | 4.69 | -1.10 % | ||
| S3 | 4.65 | -1.83 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 4.93 | 4.01 % | |
| R2 | 4.85 | 2.32 % | ||
| R1 | 4.83 | 1.90 % | ||
| Current price | 4.74 | |||
| Support | S1 | 4.66 | -1.69% | |
| S2 | 4.64 | -2.11% | ||
| S3 | 4.61 | -2.74% |
000417 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 28, 2023 | Jun 28, 2023 | Jun 28, 2023 | ¥0.0700 | 1.53% |
| 2 | Jun 16, 2022 | Jun 16, 2022 | Jun 16, 2022 | ¥0.0600 | 1.32% |
| 3 | Jun 16, 2021 | Jun 16, 2021 | Jun 16, 2021 | ¥0.0600 | 1.32% |
| 4 | Jun 16, 2020 | Jun 16, 2020 | Jun 16, 2020 | ¥0.0800 | 1.43% |
| 5 | Jun 21, 2019 | Jun 21, 2019 | Jun 21, 2019 | ¥0.150 | 2.86% |
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