HSBC Holdings plc Stock Forecast
Evaluation of HSBC Holdings plc stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
The HSBC Holdings plc stock price fell by -2.21% on the last day (Friday, 17th May 2024) from HK$70.10 to HK$68.55. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.69% from a day low at HK$67.85 to a day high of HK$69.00. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days but is still down by -1.01% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 76 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 37 million shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$2.52 billion.
The stock lies in the middle of a strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 16.85% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between HK$75.94 and HK$83.43 at the end of this 3-month period.
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0005.HK Signals & Forecast
The HSBC Holdings plc stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately HK$68.82. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately HK$65.10. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, May 08, 2024, and so far it has fallen -2.56%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for HSBC Holdings plc stock
HSBC Holdings plc finds support from accumulated volume at HK$67.70 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved HK$1.15 between high and low, or 1.69%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.41%.
Our recommended stop-loss: HK$66.21 (-3.42%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 6 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (0005.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect HSBC Holdings plc to open at HK$68.47, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$67.36 and HK$69.74, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$1.19 (+/-1.73%) up or down from last closing price. If HSBC Holdings plc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.46% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at HK$69.25 (1.02%) than the support at HK$67.70 (1.24%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is HSBC Holdings plc stock A Buy?
HSBC Holdings plc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.347 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for HSBC Holdings plc of Monday, May 20, 2024
Fair opening price May 20, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
HK$68.47 ( 0.122%) | HK$68.55 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 0005.HK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 69.62 | 1.56 % | |
R2 | 69.18 | 0.92 % | ||
R1 | 68.91 | 0.519 % | ||
Current price: | 68.55 | |||
Support | S1 | 68.03 | -0.762 % | |
S2 | 67.76 | -1.16 % | ||
S3 | 67.32 | -1.80 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 70.35 | 2.63 % | |
R2 | 70.10 | 2.26 % | ||
R1 | 69.25 | 1.02 % | ||
Current price | 68.55 | |||
Support | S1 | 67.70 | -1.24% | |
S2 | 60.25 | -12.11% | ||
S3 | 59.60 | -13.06% |
0005 Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | May 09, 2024 | May 09, 2024 | Jun 21, 2024 | HK$2.43 | 3.54% |
2 | Mar 07, 2024 | Mar 07, 2024 | Apr 25, 2024 | HK$2.42 | 3.73% |
3 | Nov 09, 2023 | Nov 09, 2023 | Nov 09, 2023 | HK$0 | 0% |
4 | May 11, 2023 | May 11, 2023 | May 11, 2023 | HK$0.100 | 0.170% |
5 | Mar 02, 2023 | Mar 02, 2023 | Mar 02, 2023 | HK$1.80 | 3.10% |
FAQ
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