Huangshan Novel Co., Ltd. Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Weaker technical forecast for Huangshan Novel Co., Ltd. as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate.
(Updated on Jul 03, 2024)
The Huangshan Novel Co., Ltd. stock price fell by -0.204% on the last day (Wednesday, 3rd Jul 2024) from ¥9.82 to ¥9.80. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.44% from a day low at ¥9.46 to a day high of ¥9.88. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.41% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -1 million shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately ¥14.95 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -8.38% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ¥8.52 and ¥9.18 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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002014.SZ Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, June 24, 2024, and so far it has risen 4.14%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Huangshan Novel Co., Ltd. stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at ¥9.92. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at ¥9.63. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Huangshan Novel Co., Ltd. stock
Huangshan Novel Co., Ltd. finds support from accumulated volume at ¥9.72 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved ¥0.420 (4.44%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.09%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (002014.SZ) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 5th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 5th we expect Huangshan Novel Co., Ltd. to open at ¥9.71, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ¥9.55 and ¥10.05, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-¥0.252 (+/-2.57%) up or down from last closing price. If Huangshan Novel Co., Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.15% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at ¥9.72 (0.82%) than the resistance at ¥10.01 (2.14%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Huangshan Novel Co., Ltd. stock A Buy?
Huangshan Novel Co., Ltd. holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.144 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Huangshan Novel Co., Ltd. of Friday, July 5, 2024
Fair opening price July 5, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
¥9.71 ( 0.88%) | ¥9.80 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 002014.SZ
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 10.13 | 3.40% |
R2 | 9.97 | 1.76% |
R1 | 9.87 | 0.753% |
Price | 9.80 | |
S1 | 9.55 | -2.52% |
S2 | 9.45 | -3.53% |
S3 | 9.29 | -5.17% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 10.49 | 7.04% |
R2 | 10.11 | 3.16% |
R1 | 10.01 | 2.14% |
Price | 9.80 | |
S1 | 9.72 | -0.82% |
S2 | 9.55 | -2.55% |
S3 | 9.41 | -3.98% |
002014 Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Apr 12, 2024 | Apr 12, 2024 | Apr 12, 2024 | ¥0.550 | 5.45% |
2 | Apr 14, 2023 | Apr 14, 2023 | Apr 14, 2023 | ¥0.400 | 4.81% |
3 | Apr 14, 2022 | Apr 14, 2022 | Apr 14, 2022 | ¥0.500 | 7.39% |
4 | Apr 14, 2021 | Apr 14, 2021 | Apr 14, 2021 | ¥0.417 | 5.37% |
5 | Apr 15, 2020 | Apr 15, 2020 | Apr 15, 2020 | ¥0.333 | 4.32% |
FAQ
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