Zhejiang Busen Garments Co Ltd Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Zhejiang Busen Garments Co Ltd stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on May 06, 2024)
The Zhejiang Busen Garments Co Ltd stock price fell by -3.51% on the last day (Monday, 6th May 2024) from ¥5.13 to ¥4.95. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.10% from a day low at ¥4.92 to a day high of ¥5.22. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.2% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 428 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately ¥7.31 million.
The stock is moving within a very wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Zhejiang Busen Garments Co Ltd stock with a 90% probability to be traded between ¥4.21 and ¥6.37 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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002569.SZ Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Zhejiang Busen Garments Co Ltd stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at ¥5.67. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at ¥4.86. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, April 22, 2024, and so far it has risen 16.47%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Zhejiang Busen Garments Co Ltd stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at ¥4.58 and ¥4.47. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Zhejiang Busen Garments Co Ltd finds support just below today's level at ¥4.58. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at ¥4.47 and ¥4.46.
This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved ¥0.300 between high and low, or 6.10%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 8.00%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (002569.SZ) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 7th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 7th we expect Zhejiang Busen Garments Co Ltd to open at ¥5.03, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ¥4.65 and ¥5.25, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-¥0.301 (+/-6.08%) up or down from last closing price. If Zhejiang Busen Garments Co Ltd takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 12.17% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at ¥5.02 (1.41%) than the support at ¥4.58 (7.47%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Zhejiang Busen Garments Co Ltd stock A Buy?
Zhejiang Busen Garments Co Ltd holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.913 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Zhejiang Busen Garments Co Ltd of Tuesday, May 7, 2024
| Fair opening price May 7, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| ¥5.03 ( 1.62%) | ¥4.95 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 002569.SZ
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 5.33 | 7.68 % | |
| R2 | 5.22 | 5.36 % | ||
| R1 | 5.14 | 3.93 % | ||
| Current price: | 4.95 | |||
| Support | S1 | 4.92 | -0.699 % | |
| S2 | 4.84 | -2.13 % | ||
| S3 | 4.73 | -4.44 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 5.80 | 17.17 % | |
| R2 | 5.40 | 9.09 % | ||
| R1 | 5.02 | 1.41 % | ||
| Current price | 4.95 | |||
| Support | S1 | 4.58 | -7.47% | |
| S2 | 4.47 | -9.70% | ||
| S3 | 4.46 | -9.90% |
002569 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 22, 2013 | May 22, 2013 | May 22, 2013 | ¥0.0769 | 0.86% |
| 2 | Jun 06, 2012 | Jun 06, 2012 | Jun 06, 2012 | ¥0.0769 | 0.92% |
| 3 | Sep 20, 2011 | Sep 20, 2011 | Sep 20, 2011 | ¥0.308 | 2.89% |
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