San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 18, 2025

The San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Limited stock price fell by -2.34% on the last day (Tuesday, 18th Nov 2025) from HK$1.28 to HK$1.25. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.44% from a day low at HK$1.23 to a day high of HK$1.26. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 1.63% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 102 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 104 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$130.00 thousand.

The stock lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 4.51% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between HK$1.25 and HK$1.35 at the end of this 3-month period.

0236.HK Signals & Forecast

The San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Limited stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately HK$1.27. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately HK$1.24. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, November 17, 2025, and so far it has fallen -2.34%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Limited gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Limited stock

San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Limited finds support from accumulated volume at HK$1.22 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved HK$0.0300 (2.44%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.488%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (0236.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 19th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 19th we expect San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Limited to open at HK$1.25, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$1.24 and HK$1.26, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$0.0188 (+/-1.51%) up or down from last closing price. If San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.51% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at HK$1.26 (0.80%) than the support at HK$1.22 (2.40%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Limited stock A Buy?

San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Limited holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -1.457 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 19, 2025 - HK$1.25 ( 0.267%).

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