Incyte Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Oct 06, 2025 Gain 20.10%

The Incyte Corporation stock price fell by -1.55% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $106.49 to $104.83. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.71% from a day low at $103.90 to a day high of $105.68. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 6.24% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -392 shares and in total, 349 shares were bought and sold for approximately $36.59 thousand.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 20.88% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $110.33 and $132.61 at the end of this 3-month period.

0J9P.L Signals & Forecast

The Incyte Corporation stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $106.35. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $93.20. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, November 12, 2025, and so far it has fallen -3.67%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, September 30, 2025 in the short-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Incyte Corporation stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $98.68 and $90.80. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Incyte Corporation finds support just below today's level at $98.68. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $90.80 and $85.92.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with periodic low trading volume this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $1.78 between high and low, or 1.71%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.23%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $99.86 (-4.75%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (0J9P.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Incyte Corporation to open at $104.81, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $102.95 and $106.72, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.77 (+/-3.66%) up or down from last closing price. If Incyte Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.66% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $105.40 (0.54%) than the support at $98.68 (5.87%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Incyte Corporation stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Incyte Corporation stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 1.618 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $104.81 ( 0.0268%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk