Valero Energy Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Oct 28, 2025 Gain 5.49%

The Valero Energy Corporation stock price gained 0.204% on the last trading day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025), rising from $181.50 to $181.87. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.59% from a day low at $180.02 to a day high of $184.68. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 6.93% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 541 more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 1 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $251.16 thousand.

The stock lies in the upper part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $184.15 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 20.52% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $200.47 and $221.93 at the end of this 3-month period.

0LK6.L Signals & Forecast

The Valero Energy Corporation stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $179.08 and $168.45. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Valero Energy Corporation has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, November 11, 2025, and so far it has fallen -0.192%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Valero Energy Corporation stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $162.18 and $152.98. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Valero Energy Corporation finds support just below today's level at $162.18. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $152.98 and $149.16.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $4.66 between high and low, or 2.59%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.21%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $174.96 (-3.80%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 4 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (0LK6.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Valero Energy Corporation to open at $182.19, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $179.33 and $184.41, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$5.07 (+/-2.83%) up or down from last closing price. If Valero Energy Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.83% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $182.22 (0.19%) than the support at $162.18 (10.83%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For 0LK6.L

Dividend warning for 0LK6.L: Ex-dividend date is approaching in 1 day on Thursday 20th November, 2025. The dividend to be paid is $1.13, which is a small dividend (0.621%). The stock is expected to open approximately 0.621% lower on the ex-dividend date.

Is Valero Energy Corporation stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Valero Energy Corporation stock to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 1.305 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $182.19 ( 0.176%).

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