Transocean Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Oct 21, 2025 Gain 25.74%

The Transocean Ltd. stock price gained 2.45% on the last trading day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025), rising from $4.10 to $4.20. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.18% from a day low at $3.96 to a day high of $4.20. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 6.05% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 70 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 135 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $565.27 thousand.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 34.06% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $4.75 and $5.87 at the end of this 3-month period.

0QOW.L Signals & Forecast

The Transocean Ltd. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $4.12 and $3.63. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Transocean Ltd. has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, November 11, 2025, and so far it has fallen -2.56%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Transocean Ltd. stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $3.84 and $3.43. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Transocean Ltd. finds support just below today's level at $3.84. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $3.43 and $3.34.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.245 between high and low, or 6.18%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.23%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $4.01 (-4.50%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 4 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (0QOW.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Transocean Ltd. to open at $4.12, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $4.10 and $4.29, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.190 (+/-4.63%) up or down from last closing price. If Transocean Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.63% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $4.31 (2.63%) than the support at $3.84 (8.56%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Transocean Ltd. stock A Buy?

Transocean Ltd. holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: 0.581 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $4.12 ( 1.94%).

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