Morgan Stanley Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Oct 13, 2025 Gain 3.43%

The Morgan Stanley stock price fell by -2.11% on the last day (Tuesday, 18th Nov 2025) from $163.86 to $160.41. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.22% from a day low at $156.92 to a day high of $160.41. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.19% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 464 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 2 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $271.74 thousand.

Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 12.98% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $181.23 and $193.75 at the end of this 3-month period.

0QYU.L Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Morgan Stanley stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $165.40 and $161.65. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, November 12, 2025, and so far it has fallen -5.80%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Morgan Stanley gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Morgan Stanley stock

Morgan Stanley finds support from accumulated volume at $157.04 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $3.49 between high and low, or 2.22%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.25%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $152.37 (-5.01%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 4 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (0QYU.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 19th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 19th we expect Morgan Stanley to open at $159.25, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $158.40 and $162.42, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$4.02 (+/-2.54%) up or down from last closing price. If Morgan Stanley takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.54% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $157.04 (2.10%) than the resistance at $164.38 (2.47%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Morgan Stanley stock A Buy?

Morgan Stanley holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: -0.656 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 19, 2025 - $159.25 ( 0.725%).

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