Spdr S&p 500 Etf Trust ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 09, 2025 Gain 19.04%

The SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF price fell by -1.49% on the last day (Tuesday, 18th Nov 2025) from JP¥104,350.00 to JP¥102,800.00. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.32% from a day low at JP¥102,350.00 to a day high of JP¥103,700.00. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -1.2% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 1 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 3 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥328.75 million.

The ETF lies in the lower part of a narrow and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at JP¥102,550.40 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 12.77% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥115,649.73 and JP¥120,323.00 at the end of this 3-month period.

1557.T Signals & Forecast

A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, November 13, 2025, and so far it has fallen -3.11%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely. Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately JP¥104,592.86. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately JP¥102,364.29. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF

SPDR S&P 500 Trust finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥100,800.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved JP¥1,350.00 between high and low, or 1.32%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.97%.

Our recommended stop-loss: JP¥98,526.10 (-4.16%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (1557.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 19th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 19th we expect SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust to open at JP¥102,950.00, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥102,210.01 and JP¥103,389.99, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥1,179.97 (+/-1.15%) up or down from last closing price. If SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.15% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at JP¥103,900.00 (1.07%) than the support at JP¥100,800.00 (1.95%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust ETF A Buy?

Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period.

Current score: 3.251 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 19, 2025 - JP¥102,950.00 ( 0.146%).

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