China 21st Century Education Group Ltd Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Red day on Friday for China 21st Century Education Group Ltd stock after losing 2.94%
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The China 21st Century Education Group Ltd stock price fell by -2.94% on the last day (Friday, 3rd May 2024) from HK$0.170 to HK$0.165. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.03% from a day low at HK$0.165 to a day high of HK$0.170. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -5.71% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -450 thousand shares and in total, 666 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$109.89 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -39.63% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between HK$0.0935 and HK$0.115 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
Ready to grow your portfolio? Here's your beginner's guide to opening a free brokerage account.
1598.HK Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The China 21st Century Education Group Ltd stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at HK$0.185 and HK$0.214. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, April 24, 2024, and so far it has fallen -18.72%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for China 21st Century Education Group Ltd stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with periodic low trading volume this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved HK$0.0050 between high and low, or 3.03%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.60%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (1598.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect China 21st Century Education Group Limited to open at HK$0.167, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$0.154 and HK$0.176, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$0.0109 (+/-6.62%) up or down from last closing price. If China 21st Century Education Group Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 13.25% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ HK$0.173, some HK$0.0080 (4.85%) from the current price of HK$0.165, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is China 21st Century Education Group Limited stock A Buy?
China 21st Century Education Group Ltd holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -6.178 Strong Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for China 21st Century Education Group Limited of Monday, May 6, 2024
| Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| HK$0.167 ( 1.01%) | HK$0.165 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 1598.HK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0.172 | 4.04 % | |
| R2 | 0.170 | 2.88 % | ||
| R1 | 0.169 | 2.17 % | ||
| Current price: | 0.165 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0.165 | -0.147 % | |
| S2 | 0.164 | -0.86 % | ||
| S3 | 0.162 | -2.02 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0.198 | 20.00 % | |
| R2 | 0.186 | 12.73 % | ||
| R1 | 0.173 | 4.85 % | ||
| Current price | 0.165 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
1598 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jul 13, 2023 | Jul 13, 2023 | Jul 13, 2023 | HK$0.0080 | 3.42% |
| 2 | Jul 13, 2022 | Jul 13, 2022 | Jul 13, 2022 | HK$0.0063 | 1.50% |
| 3 | Jul 14, 2021 | Jul 14, 2021 | Jul 14, 2021 | HK$0.0157 | 2.57% |
| 4 | Mar 31, 2020 | Jul 15, 2020 | Jul 31, 2020 | HK$0.0222 | 4.27% |
FAQ
Click here for our free guide on how to buy China 21st Century Education Group Limited Stock.
