Koolearn Technology Holding Limited Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Green day on Friday for Koolearn Technology Holding Limited
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The Koolearn Technology Holding Limited stock price gained 0.90% on the last trading day (Friday, 3rd May 2024), rising from HK$17.80 to HK$17.96. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.93% from a day low at HK$17.60 to a day high of HK$18.82. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 9.91% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -553 thousand shares and in total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$61.76 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at HK$18.92 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -35.04% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between HK$8.63 and HK$12.29 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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1797.HK Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 16.62%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Koolearn Technology Holding Limited stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at HK$19.38. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at HK$17.17. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Koolearn Technology Holding Limited stock
Koolearn Technology Holding Limited finds support from accumulated volume at HK$17.70 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved HK$1.22 between high and low, or 6.93%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 7.04%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (1797.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect Koolearn Technology Holding Limited to open at HK$18.13, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$16.83 and HK$19.09, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$1.13 (+/-6.31%) up or down from last closing price. If Koolearn Technology Holding Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 12.63% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at HK$17.70 (1.45%) than the resistance at HK$20.80 (15.81%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Koolearn Technology Holding Limited stock A Buy?
Koolearn Technology Holding Limited holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -1.497 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Koolearn Technology Holding Limited of Monday, May 6, 2024
| Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| HK$18.13 ( 0.93%) | HK$17.96 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 1797.HK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 19.35 | 7.72 % | |
| R2 | 18.88 | 5.13 % | ||
| R1 | 18.59 | 3.52 % | ||
| Current price: | 17.96 | |||
| Support | S1 | 17.66 | -1.67 % | |
| S2 | 17.37 | -3.27 % | ||
| S3 | 16.91 | -5.86 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 22.10 | 23.05 % | |
| R2 | 20.90 | 16.37 % | ||
| R1 | 20.80 | 15.81 % | ||
| Current price | 17.96 | |||
| Support | S1 | 17.70 | -1.45% | |
| S2 | 16.34 | -9.02% | ||
| S3 | 15.70 | -12.58% |
FAQ
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