Mori-gumi . Stock Forecast

Hold candidate since Nov 17, 2025 Loss -2.15%

The Mori-Gumi Co., Ltd. stock price fell by -2.15% on the last day (Tuesday, 18th Nov 2025) from JP¥325.00 to JP¥318.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.89% from a day low at JP¥317.00 to a day high of JP¥323.00. The price has fallen in 4 of the last 10 days and is down by -4.5% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -58 thousand shares and in total, 53 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥16.95 million.

The stock has broken the weak rising short-term trend down. This signalizes a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning about a possible trend shift. Due to the trend being broken there will now be resistance at the bottom line of the trend at JP¥318.25. A reaction back to this level may hold a second chance to get out before further falls.

1853.T Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, November 14, 2025, and so far it has fallen 0%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Mori-Gumi Co., Ltd. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at JP¥325.57 and JP¥327.51. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, December 30, 2024 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Mori-Gumi Co., Ltd. stock

Mori-Gumi Co., Ltd. finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥317.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥6.00 (1.89%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.17%.

Our recommended stop-loss: JP¥298.09 (-6.26%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (1853.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 19th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 19th we expect Mori-Gumi Co., Ltd. to open at JP¥319.33, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥314.02 and JP¥321.98, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥7.95 (+/-2.53%) up or down from last closing price. If Mori-Gumi Co., Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.53% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at JP¥317.00 (0.31%) than the resistance at JP¥320.00 (0.63%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Dividend Warning For 1853.T

Dividend coming up for 1853.T: Ex-dividend date (Monday 30th March, 2026) is 131 days away. The dividend is JP¥0.

Is Mori-Gumi Co., Ltd. stock A Buy?

Mori-Gumi Co., Ltd. holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: -0.323 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 19, 2025 - JP¥319.33 ( 0.419%).

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