Taisei Oncho . Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Nov 13, 2025 Loss -0.12%

The Taisei Oncho Co., Ltd. stock price fell by -1.65% on the last day (Tuesday, 18th Nov 2025) from JP¥4,255.00 to JP¥4,185.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.77% from a day low at JP¥4,145.00 to a day high of JP¥4,260.00. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days but is still up by 0.72% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 4 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 10 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥41.85 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a narrow and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.74% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥3,872.78 and JP¥4,065.60 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

1904.T Signals & Forecast

The Taisei Oncho Co., Ltd. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at JP¥4,170.71 and JP¥4,153.14. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, November 14, 2025, and so far it has fallen -2.11%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Taisei Oncho Co., Ltd. stock

Taisei Oncho Co., Ltd. finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥4,170.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥115.00 between high and low, or 2.77%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.91%.

Our recommended stop-loss: JP¥4,028.57 (-3.74%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (1904.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 19th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 19th we expect Taisei Oncho Co., Ltd. to open at JP¥4,196.67, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥4,156.17 and JP¥4,213.83, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥57.66 (+/-1.39%) up or down from last closing price. If Taisei Oncho Co., Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.39% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at JP¥4,170.00 (0.36%) than the resistance at JP¥4,275.00 (2.15%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Dividend Warning For 1904.T

Dividend coming up for 1904.T: Ex-dividend date (Monday 30th March, 2026) is 131 days away. The dividend is JP¥87.00.

Is Taisei Oncho Co., Ltd. stock A Buy?

Taisei Oncho Co., Ltd. holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: -0.797 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 19, 2025 - JP¥4,196.67 ( 0.279%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk