Goldpac Group Limited Stock Forecast
Goldpac Group Limited stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
The Goldpac Group Limited stock price fell by -0.662% on the last day (Friday, 17th May 2024) from HK$1.51 to HK$1.50. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.33% from a day low at HK$1.50 to a day high of HK$1.52. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.74% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -12 thousand shares and in total, 137 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$205.50 thousand.
The stock is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Goldpac Group Limited stock with a 90% probability to be traded between HK$1.43 and HK$1.52 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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3315.HK Signals & Forecast
The Goldpac Group Limited stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at HK$1.50 and HK$1.46. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, May 14, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.32%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Goldpac Group Limited stock
Goldpac Group Limited finds support from accumulated volume at HK$1.49 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock During the last day, the stock moved HK$0.0200 between high and low, or 1.33%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.02%
Our recommended stop-loss: HK$1.44 (-4.05%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (3315.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect Goldpac Group Limited to open at HK$1.51, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$1.47 and HK$1.53, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$0.0282 (+/-1.88%) up or down from last closing price. If Goldpac Group Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.76% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at HK$1.51 (0.67%) than the support at HK$1.49 (0.67%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
Goldpac Group Limited will release earnings BMO on Tuesday, May 21, 2024. We will update the financials statements for Goldpac Group Limited, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 3.79% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Goldpac Group Limited stock A Buy?
Goldpac Group Limited holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.782 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Goldpac Group Limited of Monday, May 20, 2024
Fair opening price May 20, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
HK$1.51 ( 0.444%) | HK$1.50 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 3315.HK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 1.53 | 1.78 % | |
R2 | 1.52 | 1.27 % | ||
R1 | 1.51 | 0.95 % | ||
Current price: | 1.50 | |||
Support | S1 | 1.50 | -0.0649 % | |
S2 | 1.49 | -0.380 % | ||
S3 | 1.49 | -0.89 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 1.52 | 1.33 % | ||
R1 | 1.51 | 0.667 % | ||
Current price | 1.50 | |||
Support | S1 | 1.49 | -0.667% | |
S2 | 1.46 | -2.67% | ||
S3 | 1.45 | -3.33% |
3315 Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | May 30, 2024 | May 30, 2024 | Jun 28, 2024 | HK$0.140 | 9.27% |
2 | May 30, 2023 | May 30, 2023 | May 30, 2023 | HK$0.0400 | 2.67% |
3 | Jun 01, 2022 | Jun 01, 2022 | Jun 01, 2022 | HK$0.0400 | 2.12% |
4 | Sep 02, 2021 | Sep 02, 2021 | Sep 02, 2021 | HK$0.0250 | 1.58% |
5 | Jun 03, 2021 | Jun 03, 2021 | Jun 03, 2021 | HK$0.0400 | 2.22% |
FAQ
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