Goldpac Group Limited Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Goldpac Group Limited stock price ended at HK$1.36 on Friday, after losing 1.45%.
(Updated on May 31, 2024)
The Goldpac Group Limited stock price fell by -1.45% on the last day (Friday, 31st May 2024) from HK$1.38 to HK$1.36. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.24% from a day low at HK$1.34 to a day high of HK$1.37. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -9.33% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -257 thousand shares and in total, 241 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$327.76 thousand.
Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Goldpac Group Limited stock with a 90% probability to be traded between HK$1.37 and HK$1.54 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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3315.HK Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Goldpac Group Limited stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at HK$1.46 and HK$1.47. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, May 28, 2024, and so far it has fallen -10.53%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Goldpac Group Limited stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
In general the stock tends to have controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock. During the last day, the stock moved HK$0.0300 between high and low, or 2.24%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.70%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (3315.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect Goldpac Group Limited to open at HK$1.36, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$1.32 and HK$1.40, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$0.0392 (+/-2.88%) up or down from last closing price. If Goldpac Group Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.77% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ HK$1.45, some HK$0.0900 (6.62%) from the current price of HK$1.36, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is Goldpac Group Limited stock A Buy?
Goldpac Group Limited holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -3.013 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Goldpac Group Limited of Monday, June 3, 2024
| Fair opening price June 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| HK$1.36 ( 0.245%) | HK$1.36 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 3315.HK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 1.39 | 1.96 % | |
| R2 | 1.38 | 1.12 % | ||
| R1 | 1.37 | 0.598 % | ||
| Current price: | 1.36 | |||
| Support | S1 | 1.35 | -1.09 % | |
| S2 | 1.34 | -1.61 % | ||
| S3 | 1.33 | -2.45 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 1.49 | 9.56 % | |
| R2 | 1.46 | 7.35 % | ||
| R1 | 1.45 | 6.62 % | ||
| Current price | 1.36 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
3315 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 30, 2024 | May 30, 2024 | Jun 28, 2024 | HK$0.140 | 10.22% |
| 2 | May 30, 2023 | May 30, 2023 | May 30, 2023 | HK$0.0400 | 2.67% |
| 3 | Jun 01, 2022 | Jun 01, 2022 | Jun 01, 2022 | HK$0.0400 | 2.12% |
| 4 | Sep 02, 2021 | Sep 02, 2021 | Sep 02, 2021 | HK$0.0250 | 1.58% |
| 5 | Jun 03, 2021 | Jun 03, 2021 | Jun 03, 2021 | HK$0.0400 | 2.22% |
FAQ
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