Tokuden . Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Nov 07, 2025 Loss -3.16%

The Tokuden Co., Ltd. stock price fell by -0.434% on the last day (Tuesday, 18th Nov 2025) from JP¥2,766.00 to JP¥2,754.00. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0% from a day low at JP¥2,754.00 to a day high of JP¥2,754.00. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 4.71% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -100 shares and in total, 200 shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥550.80 thousand.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -3.42% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥2,523.10 and JP¥2,898.95 at the end of this 3-month period.

3437.T Signals & Forecast

The Tokuden Co., Ltd. stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately JP¥2,848.71. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately JP¥2,745.37. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, November 12, 2025, and so far it has fallen -8.20%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, July 01, 2025 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Tokuden Co., Ltd. stock

Tokuden Co., Ltd. finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥2,700.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥0 between high and low, or 0%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.27%.

Our recommended stop-loss: JP¥2,589.86 (-5.96%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 4 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (3437.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 19th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 19th we expect Tokuden Co., Ltd. to open at JP¥2,754.00, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥2,722.04 and JP¥2,785.96, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥63.92 (+/-2.35%) up or down from last closing price. If Tokuden Co., Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.35% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at JP¥2,800.00 (1.67%) than the support at JP¥2,700.00 (1.96%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Tokuden Co., Ltd. stock A Buy?

Tokuden Co., Ltd. holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: -0.275 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 19, 2025 - JP¥2,754.00 ( 0%).

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