Showa Denko K.K. Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Showa Denko K.K. stock price ended at JP¥3,522.00 on Friday, after losing 0.311%.
(Updated on Jun 28, 2024)
The Showa Denko K.K. stock price fell by -0.311% on the last day (Friday, 28th Jun 2024) from JP¥3,533.00 to JP¥3,522.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.64% from a day low at JP¥3,522.00 to a day high of JP¥3,615.00. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.73% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 335 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥4.66 billion.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.75% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥3,052.76 and JP¥3,555.69 at the end of this 3-month period.
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4004.T Signals & Forecast
The Showa Denko K.K. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at JP¥3,475.71 and JP¥3,500.71. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, June 24, 2024, and so far it has risen 3.50%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Showa Denko K.K. stock
Showa Denko K.K. finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥3,465.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥93.00 between high and low, or 2.64%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.22%.
Our recommended stop-loss: JP¥3,368.42 (-4.36%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 12 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (4004.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 1st we expect Showa Denko K.K. to open at JP¥3,553.00, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥3,423.30 and JP¥3,620.70, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥98.70 (+/-2.80%) up or down from last closing price. If Showa Denko K.K. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.60% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at JP¥3,465.00 (1.62%) than the resistance at JP¥3,711.00 (5.37%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Showa Denko K.K. stock A Buy?
Showa Denko K.K. holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.584 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Showa Denko K.K. of Monday, July 1, 2024
Fair opening price July 1, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
JP¥3,553.00 ( 0.88%) | JP¥3,522.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 4004.T
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 3,646.00 | 3.52% |
R2 | 3,610.47 | 2.51% |
R1 | 3,588.53 | 1.89% |
Price | 3,522.00 | |
S1 | 3,517.47 | -0.129% |
S2 | 3,495.53 | -0.752% |
S3 | 3,460.00 | -1.76% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 3,880.00 | 10.16% |
R2 | 3,732.00 | 5.96% |
R1 | 3,711.00 | 5.37% |
Price | 3,522.00 | |
S1 | 3,465.00 | -1.62% |
S2 | 3,426.00 | -2.73% |
S3 | 3,390.00 | -3.75% |
4004 Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dec 27, 2024 | Dec 27, 2024 | Dec 27, 2024 | JP¥0 | 0% |
2 | Dec 28, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | Mar 27, 2024 | JP¥65.00 | 1.83% |
3 | Dec 29, 2022 | Dec 29, 2022 | Dec 29, 2022 | JP¥65.00 | 3.22% |
4 | Dec 29, 2021 | Dec 29, 2021 | Dec 29, 2021 | JP¥65.00 | 2.69% |
5 | Dec 29, 2020 | Dec 29, 2020 | Dec 29, 2020 | JP¥65.00 | 2.93% |
FAQ
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