NIPPON SHOKUBAI CO.,LTD. Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
NIPPON SHOKUBAI CO.,LTD. stock price ended at JP¥1,494.00 on Thursday, after losing 0.500%.
(Updated on May 02, 2024)
The NIPPON SHOKUBAI CO.,LTD. stock price fell by -0.500% on the last day (Thursday, 2nd May 2024) from JP¥1,501.50 to JP¥1,494.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.87% from a day low at JP¥1,490.00 to a day high of JP¥1,503.00. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.39% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 16 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 221 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥329.58 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Due to the high volatility and the trend direction we are not able to give forecast range for this stock. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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4114.T Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 02, 2024, and so far it has risen 3.25%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The NIPPON SHOKUBAI CO.,LTD. stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at JP¥2,744.67. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at JP¥1,488.93. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for NIPPON SHOKUBAI CO.,LTD. stock
NIPPON SHOKUBAI CO.,LTD. finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥1,487.50 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥13.00 between high and low, or 0.87%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.36%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (4114.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 7th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 7th we expect NIPPON SHOKUBAI CO.,LTD. to open at JP¥1,495.67, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥1,405.50 and JP¥1,582.50, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥88.50 (+/-5.92%) up or down from last closing price. If NIPPON SHOKUBAI CO.,LTD. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 11.85% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at JP¥1,500.50 (0.44%) than the support at JP¥1,487.50 (0.44%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is NIPPON SHOKUBAI CO.,LTD. stock A Buy?
NIPPON SHOKUBAI CO.,LTD. holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -1.072 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for NIPPON SHOKUBAI CO.,LTD. of Tuesday, May 7, 2024
| Fair opening price May 7, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| JP¥1,495.67 ( 0.112%) | JP¥1,494.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 4114.T
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 1,508.67 | 0.98 % | |
| R2 | 1,503.70 | 0.649 % | ||
| R1 | 1,500.63 | 0.444 % | ||
| Current price: | 1,494.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 1,490.70 | -0.221 % | |
| S2 | 1,487.63 | -0.426 % | ||
| S3 | 1,482.67 | -0.759 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 1,546.00 | 3.48 % | |
| R2 | 1,528.00 | 2.28 % | ||
| R1 | 1,500.50 | 0.435 % | ||
| Current price | 1,494.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 1,487.50 | -0.435% | |
| S2 | 1,466.00 | -1.87% | ||
| S3 | 1,450.00 | -2.95% |
4114 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 28, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | JP¥0 | 0% |
| 2 | Mar 30, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | JP¥90.00 | 6.94% |
| 3 | Sep 29, 2022 | Sep 29, 2022 | Sep 29, 2022 | JP¥90.00 | 6.68% |
| 4 | Mar 30, 2022 | Mar 30, 2022 | Mar 30, 2022 | JP¥5.00 | 0.372% |
| 5 | Sep 29, 2021 | Sep 29, 2021 | Sep 29, 2021 | JP¥5.00 | 0.348% |
FAQ
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