TOUMEI CO.,LTD. Stock Forecast
Green day on Friday for TOUMEI CO.,LTD. stock after gaining 0.683%
(Updated on May 10, 2024)
The TOUMEI CO.,LTD. stock price gained 0.683% on the last trading day (Friday, 10th May 2024), rising from JP¥2,344.00 to JP¥2,360.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.92% from a day low at JP¥2,331.00 to a day high of JP¥2,399.00. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 6.07% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 100 more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 17 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥39.65 million.
The stock lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at JP¥2,363.48 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.47% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥1,888.86 and JP¥2,257.95 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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4439.T Signals & Forecast
The TOUMEI CO.,LTD. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at JP¥2,352.57 and JP¥2,292.49. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, May 01, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.548%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for TOUMEI CO.,LTD. stock
TOUMEI CO.,LTD. finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥2,333.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥68.00 between high and low, or 2.92%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.77%.
The TOUMEI CO.,LTD. stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought and the RSI is still moving upwards. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely, and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: JP¥2,274.94 (-3.60%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 78 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 5 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (4439.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 13th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 13th we expect TOUMEI CO.,LTD. to open at JP¥2,363.33, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥2,269.72 and JP¥2,450.28, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥90.28 (+/-3.83%) up or down from last closing price. If TOUMEI CO.,LTD. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.65% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at JP¥2,381.00 (0.89%) than the support at JP¥2,333.00 (1.14%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is TOUMEI CO.,LTD. stock A Buy?
TOUMEI CO.,LTD. holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.764 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for TOUMEI CO.,LTD. of Monday, May 13, 2024
Fair opening price May 13, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
JP¥2,363.33 ( 0.141%) | JP¥2,360.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 4439.T
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 2,431.33 | 3.02 % | |
R2 | 2,405.36 | 1.92 % | ||
R1 | 2,389.31 | 1.24 % | ||
Current price: | 2,360.00 | |||
Support | S1 | 2,337.36 | -0.96 % | |
S2 | 2,321.31 | -1.64 % | ||
S3 | 2,295.33 | -2.74 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 2,478.00 | 5.00 % | |
R2 | 2,436.00 | 3.22 % | ||
R1 | 2,381.00 | 0.89 % | ||
Current price | 2,360.00 | |||
Support | S1 | 2,333.00 | -1.14% | |
S2 | 2,314.00 | -1.95% | ||
S3 | 2,220.00 | -5.93% |
4439 Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Aug 29, 2024 | Aug 29, 2024 | Aug 29, 2024 | JP¥0 | 0% |
2 | Aug 30, 2023 | Aug 30, 2023 | Aug 30, 2023 | JP¥13.00 | 0.591% |
3 | Aug 30, 2022 | Aug 30, 2022 | Aug 30, 2022 | JP¥12.00 | 1.12% |
4 | Aug 30, 2021 | Aug 30, 2021 | Aug 30, 2021 | JP¥11.00 | 0.98% |
5 | Aug 28, 2020 | Aug 28, 2020 | Aug 28, 2020 | JP¥10.00 | 0.779% |
FAQ
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