Mochida Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. Stock Forecast
Red day on Monday for Mochida Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.
(Updated on May 20, 2024)
The Mochida Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. stock price fell by -0.327% on the last day (Monday, 20th May 2024) from JP¥3,055.00 to JP¥3,045.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.99% from a day low at JP¥3,030.00 to a day high of JP¥3,060.00. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -4.55% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 22 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 35 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥107.79 million.
The stock lies in the lower of a falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at JP¥3,044.08 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.40% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥2,910.13 and JP¥3,073.24 at the end of this 3-month period.
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4534.T Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Mochida Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at JP¥3,101.43 and JP¥3,145.00. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, May 10, 2024, and so far it has fallen -5.73%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
A sell signal from a double top formation was found on Wednesday, March 27, 2024 with a target of JP¥3,062.63. Despite whether the objective of the signal formation has been reached the stock may continue to fall.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Mochida Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥30.00 between high and low, or 0.99%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.50%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (4534.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 21st
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 21st we expect Mochida Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. to open at JP¥3,045.00, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥2,997.62 and JP¥3,092.38, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥47.38 (+/-1.56%) up or down from last closing price. If Mochida Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.11% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ JP¥3,145.00, some JP¥100.00 (3.28%) from the current price of JP¥3,045.00, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is Mochida Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. stock A Buy?
Mochida Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -3.640 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Mochida Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. of Tuesday, May 21, 2024
| Fair opening price May 21, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| JP¥3,045.00 ( 0%) | JP¥3,045.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 4534.T
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 3,075.00 | 0.99 % | |
| R2 | 3,063.54 | 0.609 % | ||
| R1 | 3,056.46 | 0.376 % | ||
| Current price: | 3,045.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 3,033.54 | -0.376 % | |
| S2 | 3,026.46 | -0.609 % | ||
| S3 | 3,015.00 | -0.99 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 3,290.00 | 8.05 % | |
| R2 | 3,270.00 | 7.39 % | ||
| R1 | 3,145.00 | 3.28 % | ||
| Current price | 3,045.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
4534 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 27, 2024 | Sep 27, 2024 | Sep 27, 2024 | JP¥0 | 0% |
| 2 | Mar 28, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | JP¥0 | 0% |
| 3 | Mar 30, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | JP¥40.00 | 1.21% |
| 4 | Sep 29, 2022 | Sep 29, 2022 | Sep 29, 2022 | JP¥40.00 | 1.18% |
| 5 | Mar 30, 2022 | Mar 30, 2022 | Mar 30, 2022 | JP¥50.00 | 1.29% |
FAQ
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