OTSUKA CORPORATION Stock Forecast
OTSUKA CORPORATION stock upgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Apr 30, 2024)
The OTSUKA CORPORATION stock price gained 1.38% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 30th Apr 2024), rising from JP¥3,105.00 to JP¥3,148.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.50% from a day low at JP¥3,116.00 to a day high of JP¥3,194.00. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0.03% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 543 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥5.34 billion.
The stock lies in the lower of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at JP¥2,956.29 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -46.62% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥1,578.08 and JP¥2,635.06 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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4768.T Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, April 25, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.55%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The OTSUKA CORPORATION stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at JP¥4,339.49. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at JP¥3,127.86. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for OTSUKA CORPORATION stock
OTSUKA CORPORATION finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥3,145.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥78.00 between high and low, or 2.50%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.03%.
Our recommended stop-loss: JP¥2,972.26 (-5.58%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 2 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (4768.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 1st we expect OTSUKA CORPORATION to open at JP¥3,152.67, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥3,021.65 and JP¥3,274.35, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥126.35 (+/-4.01%) up or down from last closing price. If OTSUKA CORPORATION takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.03% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at JP¥3,151.00 (0.10%) than the support at JP¥3,145.00 (0.10%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is OTSUKA CORPORATION stock A Buy?
OTSUKA CORPORATION holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.374 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for OTSUKA CORPORATION of Wednesday, May 1, 2024
| Fair opening price May 1, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| JP¥3,152.67 ( 0.148%) | JP¥3,148.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 4768.T
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 3,230.67 | 2.63 % | |
| R2 | 3,200.87 | 1.68 % | ||
| R1 | 3,182.46 | 1.09 % | ||
| Current price: | 3,148.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 3,122.87 | -0.798 % | |
| S2 | 3,104.46 | -1.38 % | ||
| S3 | 3,074.67 | -2.33 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 3,153.00 | 0.159 % | |
| R2 | 3,152.00 | 0.127 % | ||
| R1 | 3,151.00 | 0.0953 % | ||
| Current price | 3,148.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 3,145.00 | -0.0953% | |
| S2 | 3,142.00 | -0.191% | ||
| S3 | 3,103.00 | -1.43% |
4768 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dec 27, 2024 | Dec 27, 2024 | Dec 27, 2024 | JP¥0 | 0% |
| 2 | Dec 29, 2022 | Dec 29, 2022 | Dec 29, 2022 | JP¥125.00 | 6.05% |
| 3 | Dec 29, 2021 | Dec 29, 2021 | Dec 29, 2021 | JP¥5.00 | 0.182% |
| 4 | Dec 29, 2020 | Dec 29, 2020 | Dec 29, 2020 | JP¥115.00 | 4.20% |
| 5 | Dec 27, 2019 | Dec 27, 2019 | Dec 27, 2019 | JP¥110.00 | 5.00% |
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