Showa Chemical Industry . Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 14, 2025 Loss -2.90%

The Showa Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. stock price fell by -0.213% on the last day (Tuesday, 18th Nov 2025) from JP¥470.00 to JP¥469.00. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.85% from a day low at JP¥468.00 to a day high of JP¥472.00. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.7% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -15 thousand shares and in total, 4 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥2.02 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -5.90% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥426.50 and JP¥487.56 at the end of this 3-month period.

4990.T Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, October 14, 2025, and so far it has risen 0.644%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Showa Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at JP¥476.14 and JP¥485.60. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Showa Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. stock

Showa Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥466.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥4.00 between high and low, or 0.85%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.57%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (4990.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 19th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 19th we expect Showa Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. to open at JP¥469.67, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥463.26 and JP¥474.74, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥11.47 (+/-2.48%) up or down from last closing price. If Showa Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.48% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at JP¥470.00 (0.21%) than the support at JP¥466.00 (0.64%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Showa Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. stock A Buy?

Showa Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -3.014 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 19, 2025 - JP¥469.67 ( 0.142%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk