HOKKO CHEMICAL INDUSTRY CO.,LTD. Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Stronger technical forecast for HOKKO CHEMICAL INDUSTRY CO.,LTD. stock price after Thursday trading.
(Updated on May 02, 2024)
The HOKKO CHEMICAL INDUSTRY CO.,LTD. stock price gained 4.31% on the last trading day (Thursday, 2nd May 2024), rising from JP¥1,532.00 to JP¥1,598.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 7.76% from a day low at JP¥1,533.00 to a day high of JP¥1,652.00. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 9.98% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 385 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 502 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥801.40 million.
The stock lies in the upper part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at JP¥1,615.45 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 46.07% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥2,129.22 and JP¥2,359.75 at the end of this 3-month period.
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4992.T Signals & Forecast
The HOKKO CHEMICAL INDUSTRY CO.,LTD. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at JP¥1,544.43 and JP¥1,345.69. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, March 13, 2024, and so far it has risen 37.29%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, February 14, 2024 in the short-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, February 14, 2024 in the short-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for HOKKO CHEMICAL INDUSTRY CO.,LTD. stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at JP¥1,461.00 and JP¥1,457.00. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, HOKKO CHEMICAL INDUSTRY CO.,LTD. finds support just below today's level at JP¥1,461.00. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at JP¥1,457.00 and JP¥1,270.00.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved JP¥119.00 between high and low, or 7.76%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.86%.
Our recommended stop-loss: JP¥1,540.15 (-3.62%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 34 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (4992.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 7th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 7th we expect HOKKO CHEMICAL INDUSTRY CO.,LTD. to open at JP¥1,594.33, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥1,535.58 and JP¥1,660.42, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥62.42 (+/-3.91%) up or down from last closing price. If HOKKO CHEMICAL INDUSTRY CO.,LTD. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.81% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ JP¥1,461.00, some JP¥137.00 (8.57%) from the current price of JP¥1,598.00, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is HOKKO CHEMICAL INDUSTRY CO.,LTD. stock A Buy?
HOKKO CHEMICAL INDUSTRY CO.,LTD. holds several positive signals and is within a strong rising trend. As the old saying says, "Let the trend be your friend.'". We therefore consider it to be a good choice at these current levels and we are expecting further gains during the next 3 months. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Strong Buy candidate.
Current score: 5.945 Strong Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for HOKKO CHEMICAL INDUSTRY CO.,LTD. of Tuesday, May 7, 2024
| Fair opening price May 7, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| JP¥1,594.33 ( 0.229%) | JP¥1,598.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 4992.T
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 1,713.33 | 7.22 % | |
| R2 | 1,667.88 | 4.37 % | ||
| R1 | 1,639.79 | 2.62 % | ||
| Current price: | 1,598.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 1,548.88 | -3.07 % | |
| S2 | 1,520.79 | -4.83 % | ||
| S3 | 1,475.33 | -7.68 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
| R2 | 0 | . | ||
| R1 | 0 | . | ||
| Current price | 1,598.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 1,461.00 | -8.57% | |
| S2 | 1,457.00 | -8.82% | ||
| S3 | 1,270.00 | -20.53% |
4992 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 30, 2024 | May 30, 2024 | May 30, 2024 | JP¥0 | 0% |
| 2 | May 30, 2023 | May 30, 2023 | May 30, 2023 | JP¥12.00 | 1.32% |
| 3 | Nov 29, 2022 | Nov 29, 2022 | Nov 29, 2022 | JP¥11.00 | 1.22% |
| 4 | May 30, 2022 | May 30, 2022 | May 30, 2022 | JP¥10.00 | 0.98% |
| 5 | Nov 29, 2021 | Nov 29, 2021 | Nov 29, 2021 | JP¥10.00 | 1.18% |
FAQ
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