AGC Inc. Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Red day on Thursday for AGC Inc.
(Updated on Jun 27, 2024)
The AGC Inc. stock price fell by -1.99% on the last day (Thursday, 27th Jun 2024) from JP¥5,322.00 to JP¥5,216.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.01% from a day low at JP¥5,170.00 to a day high of JP¥5,222.00. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -1.25% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 221 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥7.87 billion.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -7.46% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥4,612.21 and JP¥5,136.84 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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5201.T Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, June 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.231%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The AGC Inc. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at JP¥5,284.29 and JP¥5,416.77. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for AGC Inc. stock
AGC Inc. finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥5,204.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥52.00 between high and low, or 1.01%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.03%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (5201.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 28th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 28th we expect AGC Inc. to open at JP¥5,202.67, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥5,127.76 and JP¥5,304.24, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥88.24 (+/-1.69%) up or down from last closing price. If AGC Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.38% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at JP¥5,204.00 (0.23%) than the resistance at JP¥5,244.00 (0.54%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is AGC Inc. stock A Buy?
AGC Inc. holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -3.595 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for AGC Inc. of Friday, June 28, 2024
| Fair opening price June 28, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| JP¥5,202.67 ( 0.256%) | JP¥5,216.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 5201.T
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 5,254.67 | 0.741% |
| R2 | 5,234.80 | 0.360% |
| R1 | 5,222.53 | 0.125% |
| Price | 5,216.00 | |
| S1 | 5,182.80 | -0.636% |
| S2 | 5,170.53 | -0.87% |
| S3 | 5,150.67 | -1.25% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 5,499.00 | 5.43% |
| R2 | 5,448.00 | 4.45% |
| R1 | 5,244.00 | 0.537% |
| Price | 5,216.00 | |
| S1 | 5,204.00 | -0.230% |
| S2 | 0 | - |
| S3 | 0 | - |
5201 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 27, 2024 | Jun 27, 2024 | Sep 01, 2024 | JP¥105.00 | 2.01% |
| 2 | Dec 28, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | Mar 29, 2024 | JP¥105.00 | 1.90% |
| 3 | Jun 29, 2023 | Jun 29, 2023 | Jun 29, 2023 | JP¥105.00 | 2.03% |
| 4 | Dec 29, 2022 | Dec 29, 2022 | Dec 29, 2022 | JP¥105.00 | 2.40% |
| 5 | Jun 29, 2022 | Jun 29, 2022 | Jun 29, 2022 | JP¥105.00 | 2.17% |
FAQ
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